Monday, April 27, 2020

Shutdown Week 6 - Bill Gates and the return to semi-normal

I am finding Bill Gates suggestion that Phase 2 of the Pandemic if we do this logically & scientifically is a return to semi-normal until a 95% effective treatment or a vaccine is available and in large scale use makes the most sense. Of course that isn't the plan Georgia and some other states are following so we can probably expect higher infection rates to return in those places and since people cross state boundaries there goes the infection rate elsewhere perhaps.

But I digress. What he wrote a few days ago is a long blog post that includes the following. He then goes on to say it isn't that simply though. Will there be a supply chain to enable restaurants to operate, will they be profitable, how will their employees get to work, etc. All things to think about.

"Most developed countries will be moving into the second phase of the epidemic in the next two months. In one sense, it is easy to describe this next phase. It is semi-normal. People can go out, but not as often, and not to crowded places. Picture restaurants that only seat people at every other table, and airplanes where every middle seat is empty. Schools are open, but you can’t fill a stadium with 70,000 people. People are working some and spending some of their earnings, but not as much as they were before the pandemic. In short, times are abnormal but not as abnormal as during the first phase."

For the full blog post by Bill Gates go here

9 comments:

  1. I've seen several lengthy interviews of Bill Gates lately and he really knows his stuff, doesn't he. I hope he continues to bring his expertise and clarity into the public arena.

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    1. And he is so calmly matter of fact. I really admire him.

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  2. A very smart man, with common sense answers.

    God bless.

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  3. Juhli, I wish I had taken the time to blog consistently about the shutdown from the beginning. I really love that you have. When we do get past this, and do have a treatment and/or vaccine, I wish you would have your shutdown posts made into a book to save for your granddaughter. Your observations on science, politics, and the everyday events like shopping, use of technology, masks, and even things like vet visits and puppy grooming will be very special in a hundred years. Just my humble opinion.

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  4. Oh thank you so much for the blog link! CNN had it in video form, but I prefer to read his words instead.

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  5. Very few people have the scope of understanding that Bill and Melinda Gates have. They have certainly put their money to good work to improve world health! When a person stops to really think about the many changes taking place, it would seem that life will not return to what we once knew. My concern is for the poor and isolated. I cannot imagine that they won't be the hardest hit.

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    1. I agree. So many people's lives are going to remain changed in hard ways.

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  6. One thing to keep in mind is that no matter what we do there will probably be a second wave of coronavirus when cold weather arrives in the fall, that is when the flu season hits each year. At my age, I don't know when I will go out into crowds again.

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